Nanyang100

Another Tsunami strike on July 22nd 2009?

Wed, 08 Apr 2009 17:17:00 +0800

A chain email has been doing its round the Internet claiming another Tsunami will strike on July 22nd this year.

anonymous

Fri, 17 Apr 2009 11:47:28 +0800

Ishmael Narag, the officer in charge of Phivolcs’ seismological and earthquake prediction division, said a quake with a magnitude of 8 at the Manila Trench could generate giant sea waves off the continents of china, Vietnam and Malaysia.

a magnitude of 7.5 quake along the Manila Trench located west of Manila Bay could cause a tsunami with a height of 2.5 meters at the shoreline of Manila Bay and a propagation time of over an hour. It said Manila Bay is the least studied about tsunami hazards.Solidum said a destructive tsunami triggered by a 7.5 magnitude quake took place off Manila Bay on June 3, 1863 at 7:25 p.m.

Six cases of fault ruptures in the Manila trench are considered for earthquakes with magnitudes of 8.0, 8.5, and 9.0. The linear shallow water wave theory in spherical coordinate system is used for tsunami simulation in the large area covering Southeast Asia while the nonlinear shallow water wave theory in Cartesian coordinate system is used for tsunami simulation in the Gulf of Thailand. It is found that tsunamis reach the southern part of Thailand in 13 h after an earthquake and reach Bangkok in 19 h. The tsunami amplitude is largest in the direction towards the Philippines and Vietnam. The southern part of china is also severely affected.

Tsunamis generated in the Manila Trench can be a threat to Thailand. Besides runup of tsunamis along the eastern coast, infrastructures in the Gulf of Thailand, for example, gas pipelines and platforms can be affected by tsunamis. In this study, the simulation of tsunamis in the Gulf of Thailand is conducted. The Gulf of Thailand is affected by the diffraction of tsunamis around the southern part of Vietnam and Cambodia. The tsunami amplitude at the southernmost coastline is about 0.65 m for the Mw 9.0 earthquake. The current velocity in the Gulf of Thailand due to the Mw 9.0 earthquake is generally less than 0.2 m/s.

Manila trench is only about 100 km away from Taiwan, therefore one shall punctuate the importance of thorough study on all possible tsunami scenarios for hazard mitigation. Based on the faults parameters issued by USGS and the seismic record from Global CMT, this study creates a hypothetical earthquake tsunami scenario caused by seismic motion at Manila trench. The magnitude of the earthquake is 9.35 (Mw), the total length is 990 km, and the maximum initial free-surface height is 9.3 m.

anonymous

Fri, 17 Apr 2009 11:49:19 +0800

Indian scientists recently found a scientific method of predicting earthquakes quite accurately. The great quake of Sumatra along Andaman fault line on December 26th, could have been predicted if the world would have taken these scientists seriously.

If this theory is true, we are in for many mega earthquakes soon. When two or more planets, moon and earth and sun come in one line, these mega earthquakes happen. The sun influences the rotation of earth. Now imagine you are in a train or bus. If all on a sudden the driver pushes the brake, you tend to move forward in a jerk. Exactly same thing happens when two or more planets line up with earth and pulls from the other side. The tectonic pressures built up get released in specific points of epicenter.

In this case Jupiter, Venus, Moon, Earth, Sun came in one line and the scientists predicted on the dot the earthquake. Unfortunately the world did not take then seriously enough.
This study aims to establish the occurrence of earthquake precursors like fore shocks and change in ground water level with respect to planetary configurations. When two or more than two planets, Sun and Moon are aligned more or less in line (0o or 180o) with the Earth, then the Earth would be caught in the middle of a huge gravity struggle between the Sun and the planets. The gravitational stresses would change the speed of the Earth in its orbit. When the speed of rotation of the earth changes the tectonic plate motion also gets affected, just as people collide with each other when the bus driver suddenly applies the brakes. The total angular momentum of planets involving in earthquake triggering mechanism can be calculated and the total force acting at the epicenter in the opposite direction to the rotation of the earth can also be determined.

At the epicenter, the speed of rotation of the earth can be calculated with the help of available software. So the planetary forces acting in the opposite direction to the rotation of earth act as a triggering mechanism for the accumulated stress at faults and plate boundaries, to be released abruptly. This does not, however, mean that earthquakes will occur at all edges of the plate boundaries. In order to trigger an earthquake in one particular place, two conditions should be satisfied. They are a) distance of epicenter from the planet position and b) Direction of force acting at the possible epicenter. From the analysis of “Most significant earthquakes” over past 100 years, it is inferred that the latitude, longitude and magnitude of the tremor is related to the distance from the planet and direction of planetary forces acting at any particular point. So the planetary positions can be used to predict the earthquakes in long term prospect and then by correlating the planetary positions and their forces with geology of that area, earthquakes can be predicted with fair accuracy with regard to latitude, longitude and magnitude at least a month before.

anonymous

Fri, 17 Apr 2009 11:50:55 +0800

When the gravitational force of the sun and moon are both pulling on a plate that has not had series of recent earth quakes, the extra pull is all that is needed to "pop the seam" and cause a major quake.
A solar eclipse means that the moon is blocking the sun. The moon has enough gravitational pull to cause the tides an other natural phenomena on earth. The sun has enough gravitational pull to keep the earth in orbit. The theory is that during a solar eclipse, the moon has the Sun's added pull on the earth's tectonic plates. When the Sun and Moon are together on one side of the planet, they pull together and lift up the earth's tectonic plate, just beneath the eclipse. This causes the plate to shift upward, and then an earth quake when the lifted plate gets the little extra push (lift) it needed to move over its neighboring plate.

http://www.ampedlabs.com/files/stuff/eclipse.quake.jpg

The model earth and moon would respond to real game physics for gravity to simulate an orbit. The dts mesh plates would also respond to the gravitational pull of the sun and moon. In the TGEA simulation, the sun could simply be be a fixed gravitational spot

http://www.windows.ucar.edu/earth/images/e...tes_usgs_SM.jpg

The tidal forces are also stronger when the sun and moon are inline. The thought is that the liquid hot magma beneath the tectonic plates must also follow a similar principle. The earth rotates beneath the moon faster than the moon orbits the earth. So in theory a few hours before / after the eclipse you could have some shifting in the tidal magma beneath the tectonic plate. The whole day of July 22 2009 will be interesting. The earth will rotate in the summer so that the northern hemisphere is facing the sun. The moon will cross over 3 distinct tectonic plates known for earth quakes on that day.

http://eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov/SEmono/TSE200...E2009-fig04.GIF

n Wednesday, 2009 July 22, a total eclipse of the Sun is visible from within a narrow corridor that traverses half of Earth. The path of the Moon's umbral shadow begins in India and crosses through Nepal, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Myanmar and China. After leaving mainland Asia, the path crosses Japan's Ryukyu Islands and curves southeast through the Pacific Ocean where the maximum duration of totality reaches 6 min 39 s. A partial eclipse is seen within the much broader path of the Moon's penumbral shadow, which includes most of eastern Asia, Indonesia, and the Pacific Ocean.

http://eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov/SEmono/TSE200...2009globe1a.JPG

Tue, 21 Apr 2009 03:17:08 +0800

The tsunami prediction is a false news.

See Snopes:
http://www.snopes.com/science/tsunami.asp

Tue, 21 Apr 2009 03:17:09 +0800

The tsunami prediction is a false news.

See Snopes:
http://www.snopes.com/science/tsunami.asp

Anh Nguyen

Sat, 04 Jul 2009 11:03:31 +0800

I don't know but, I think it's going to happen, I was born on the 22nd of July and have a black cat on the eigth step in my house. I'm vietnamese as well. I came here by 2+2 = 4. "Tansey Coetzee". October 8 "1984". and was on a Youtube site and clicked on +2 comment at link http://www.youtube.com/user/jmc8197 with videos of Tsunami.

Anh Nguyen

Sat, 04 Jul 2009 11:19:52 +0800

Everybody NEEDS to be evacuated. PLEASE. It can't be coincidence I'm serious. I almost shit myself when I found out it was on the same day as my birthday.

Anh Nguyen

Sat, 04 Jul 2009 11:24:26 +0800

I don't know why but I have connections with the number eight this year, octanorm for my graphics, Anim8or and if you want this is the eigth comment.

Anh Nguyen

Sat, 04 Jul 2009 11:27:32 +0800

a link to my youtube account. http://www.youtube.com/user/openEYEstudios

Anh Nguyen

Sat, 04 Jul 2009 11:34:42 +0800

EVACUATE EVERYBODY